Tuesday, July 04, 2006

 

Inefficiencies

Tyler is right. I have nothing but time to perform the most meaningless of tasks. Since companies with a paid staff of trained monkeys don't know how to do this, I did it myself. Below are the payroll commitments for each NHL team. I am going to do this by Division, starting with the Atlantic. I will add the Divisions as I finish them. The numbers are supplied by TSN, which is assuming roster spots for some players. Click on each team's link to see what I mean. I did not include buyouts, and the notable free agent names are taken from here. The NHLPA also has a payroll list by team, but it includes minor league players. I am going to just go with TSN's roster assumptions for now.

As you can see, there are already teams whose rosters are ripe for the plucking.

***Update*** If you read the comments, you will see why these numbers are in fact off. But it's the best I could do in light of the fact that nobody--not the NHL, not the NHLPA, and not any media outlets--provides info on contract length and terms.

Atlantic Division
TeamPayroll Commitments# of Players Under Contract# of Salaries UndisclosedNotable Names Not Signed
New Jersey Devils
43,480,000
17
0
Ken Klee, Viktor Kozlov, Krzysztof Oliwa, Brian Gionta, Scott Gomez, Paul Martin
New York Islanders
22,642,200
11
2
Wyatt Smith, Aaron Asham, Rick DiPietro, Trent Hunter, Mike York
New York Rangers
35,203,500
16
0
Tom Poti, Martin Rucinsky, Jason Strudwick, Petr Sykora, Fedor Fedorov, Marcel Hossa, Dominic Moore, Michal Rozsival, Fedor Tyutin
Philadelphia Flyers
32,423,800
18
1
Donald Brashear, Eric Desjardins, Brian Savage, Chris Therien, Simon Gagne, Antero Niittymaki, Joni Pitkanen, RJ Umberger
Pittsburgh Penguins
16,362,600
14
0
Eric Boguniecki, Aleksey Morozov, Lyle Odelein, Ryan Vandenbussch, Colby Armstrong, Marc-Andre Fleury, Milan Kraft, Ryan Malone, Brooks Orpik


Northeast Division
TeamPayroll Commitments# of Players Under Contract)# of Salaries UndisclosedNotable Names Not Signed
Boston Bruins
33,907,000
12
0
Tom Fitzgerald, Brad Isbister, Brian Leetch, Jiri Slegr, Patrice Bergeron, Brad Boyes, Milan Jurcina, David Tanabe
Buffalo Sabres
6,446,000
4
1
Maxim Afinogenov, Martin Biron, Daniel Briere, Brian Campbell, Tim Connolly, Jean-Pierre Dumont, Dmitri Kalinen,Ales Kotalik, Toni Lydman, Adam Mair, Ryan Miller, Jason Pominville, Taylor Pyatt,Derek Roy, Henrik Tallinder, Chris Thorburn,
Montreal Canadiens
30,044,800
16
1
Jan Bulis, Todd Simpson, David Aebischer, Chris Higgins, Mike Komisarek, Alexander Perezhogin, Mike Ribeiro, Michael Ryder
Ottawa Senators
35,027,600
13
0
Dominik Hasek, Vaclav Varada, Ray Emery, Martin Havlat, Chris Kelly, Chris Neil, Peter Schaefer, Antoine Vermette
Toronto Maple Leafs
36,492,180
16
0
Jason Allison, Alexander Khavanov, Eric Lindros, Luke Richardson, Clarke Wilm, Nik Antropov, Carlo Colaiacovo, Matt Stajan, Kyle Wellwood


Southeast Division
TeamPayroll Commitments# of Players Under Contract)# of Salaries UndisclosedNotable Names Not Signed
Atlanta Thrashers
32,706,700
18
0
Serge Aubin, Peter Bondra, Mike Dunham, Ronald Petrovicky, Steve Shields, Niko Kapanen, Kari Lehtonen
Carolina Hurricanes
34,580,800
20
0
Mark Recchi, Glen Wesley, Erik Cole
Florida Panthers
23,937,200
11
0
Jamie McLennan, Bryan Allen, Alex Auld, Jay Bouwmeester, Nathan Horton, Ric Jackman, Juraj Kolnik, Steve Montador, Vaclav Nedorost, Mike Van Ryn, Stephen Weiss
Tampa Bay Lightning
36,299,000
16
3
Martin Cibak, Chris Dingman, Shane Willis, Ruslan Fedotenko, Dimitri Afanasenkov
Washington Capitals
15,386,200
10
0
Andrew Cassels, Jeff Halpern, Kris Beech


Central Division
TeamPayroll Commitments# of Players Under Contract)# of Salaries UndisclosedNotable Names Not Signed
Chicago Blackhawks
19,288,900
10
0
Matthew Barnaby, Eric Daze, Mark Bell, Kyle Calder, Rene Bourque, Tuomo Ruutu, Jim Vandermeer, Radim Vrbata
Columbus Blue Jackets
26,509,000
14
2
Jan Hrdina, Trevor Letowski, Radoslav Suchy, Jason Chimera, Pascal LeClaire, Nikolai Zherdev
Detroit Red Wings
33,624,000
15
0
Cory Cross, Manny Legace, Brendan Shanahan, Jason Woolley, Dan Cleary, Johan Franzen, Brett Lebda, Jason Williams
Nashville Predators
29,596,000
13
0
Greg Johnson, Danny Markov, Yannic Perreault, Martin Erat, Scott Hartnell, David Legwand, Jordin Tootoo
St. Louis Blues
22,945,100
16
1
Petr Cajanek, Dean McAmmond, Scott Young, Eric Brewer, Doug Lynch, Jeff Woywitka, Jay McClemment


Pacific Division
TeamPayroll Commitments# of Players Under Contract)# of Salaries UndisclosedNotable Names Not Signed
Anaheim Mighty Ducks
32,219,300
16
0
Jeff Friesen, Ilya Bryzgalov, Stanislav Chistov, Chris Kunitz, Andy McDonald, Vitali Vishnevsky
Dallas Stars
35,332,250
19
0
Steve Ott
Los Angeles Kings
31,576,000
16
1
Valeri Bure, Nathan Dempsey, Sean Avery, Eric Belanger, Dustin Brown, Mike Cammalleri, Mathieu Garon
Phoenix Coyotes
30,010,600
14
1
Oleg Kvasha, Geoff Sanderson, Mike Comrie, Ladislav Nagy, Oleg Saprykin
San Jose Sharks
31,387,600
15
1
Christian Ehrhoff, Marcel Goc, Mark Smith, Patrick Rissmiller


Northwest Division
TeamPayroll Commitments# of Players Under Contract)# of Salaries UndisclosedNotable Names Not Signed
Calgary Flames
33,822,200
18
0
Brian Boucher, Cale Hulse, Mike LeClerc, Bryan Marchment, Chris Simon, Matt Lombardi, Alex Tanguay
Colorado Avalanche
32,780,100
16
0
Jim Dowd, Peter Budaj, John-Michael Liles, Marek Svatos, Kurt Sauer
Edmonton Oilers
22,559,400
14
0
Radek Dvorak, Todd Harvey, Georges Laraque, Rem Murray, Mike Peca, Sergei Samsonov, Jaroslav Spacek, Dick Tarnstrom, Igor Ulanov, Ales Hemsky, Shawn Horcoff, Joffrey Lupul, Jarrett Stoll
Minnesota Wild
28,787,500
14
0
Marc Chouinard, Derek Boogard, Pascal Dupuis, Marian Gaborik
Vancouver Canucks
36,420,000
11
0
Anson Carter, Trevor Linden, Richard Park, Eric Weinrich, Josh Green, Artem Chubarov, Ryan Kesler, Lukas Krajicek, Mika Noronen

Comments:

Great work, Andy.

One question: I understood that, regardless of what the salary of a player was in any given year, his cap figure was based on the average annual salary of the deal. So, for example, Elias' cap figure should be $6 mil, despite his 2006-07 salary being $7.5 mil.

If this is the case, then you can knock $1.5 mil off of the Devils' cap figure for the coming year - which still isn't enough to lock up Gomez, Gionta, and Martin. They really screwed themselves with the Elias signing. Having Malakhov and Mogilny's salaries off the book next year will help, but I just don't see how they're going to keep the aforementioned trio of youngsters until next summer. The only scenario I can see is one where they move Madden and/or Brylin to dump their salaries.
 


I don't know if that is the case. Someone will have to clarify on that. If it is the case, it may make all this work pointless. It will also make me want to kill everyone involved with the NHL and the media. How about some straight information so that people can analyze things properly? GAH!
 


Thanx Andy, good stuff. Maybe you should work for TSN, or even the pathetic-needs a facelift NHL.com.

I believe Morozov has decided to play in Russia this year.
 


Yeah, it's the contract averaged out for the term, regardless of what's actually paid out in a given year.

Roloson is the Oiler example (not that the cap is a problem). 11/3 is the cap hit for all three years.

Tkachuk is the example that's pretty clear on the TSN pages (his cap hit is 2 million more that what they're actually paying him this year).

Either way, the Devils are still screwed. ;-)

- Rod
 


So am I wasting my time doing this? I can't even get the real numbers, because no one publishes the length and money for existing contracts. God damn awful. I see from doing the Leafs numbers that you are correct. TSN has him making over 7 million this year. But they are just using the NHLPA numbers. GAH! GAH!
 


Look at Buffalo, by the way. Retarded.
 


It started out so promising...

If I was a GM I'd want this all up on my big magnetic board: FA status, contract yrs, cap$ and actual$. You could have a lot of fun.

Buffalo is looking very, um, mellow. Or asleep. Should someone wake them?
 


Andy,

This is a good piece of work, and hopefully provides some clues as to what's coming. I've been a frequent lurker in the Oilogosphere for a few months now. I've been a big fan since your days at SportsMatters.

OK, so I'm not just blowing smoke up your ass to get this question answered... Do you have to hand code all of your tables or is there a quick excel conversion that works well? Drop me an email at greg.o@telus.net if you don't want to blemish your blog with this stuff. Thanks!
 


I just sent you an email, Greg.
 


Done. I'm going to bed. I am sure I made mistakes, but I'll fix tomorrow.
 


You can take Spacek off of the Oilers' "unsigned" list - he's gone. Global reported he signed with another team today but didn't say which one.
 


Who are these 'Mighty Ducks'? You must be thinking of some long-forgotten former franchise.
 


Damn! You're on fire Andy. Good stuff.

Buffalo's situation is just incredible. I can't see how they would be in a position to even start kicking UFA tires until August. Potential RFA offer sheets could come in some of these guys if Regier doesn't get these guys signed soon.

And what the hell is Lou doing? Again.
 


its truly amazing. what would happen to teams who cannot sign their RFA's? do they lose their rights?

I know that everyone is worried about our D, but I see so many teams that will be very thin in their bottom 6 forwards. Mayhaps we can exploit that?
 


I just did a similar post but just focussing on a handful of teams - then I come here and ... you have outdone me, sir

quibble with the numbers and players but the point is clear - there are a lot of teams in big trouble already

Lowe will be able to get the needed Dman or 2 and I believe it won't cost him a lot

How would Brian Rafalski look in an Oiler uni? Jersey is screwed - they have 9M committed to 3 guys who probably won't play a game for them this year.

Nice work.
 


"Buffalo is looking very, um, mellow. Or asleep. Should someone wake them?"

This is just what Regier is like. He moves very very slowly every year. It's not even surprising at this point really. A lot of Buffalo players could go to arbitration and get big raises so I wouldn't be at all surprised to see a bunch of them choosing that option.
 


Someone woke Buffalo.
 


Jim Rutherford is doing it again.
 


I assume you know by now that Laraque's no longer an Oiler UFA and is now, in fact, an ex-Oiler with the Coyotes.

But if you hadn't, you do now. ;)

It's fricking frustrating trying to find contract values - even for past seasons. I spent a fair bit of time digging 'em up when I was looking at salaries of Cup winners, and wound up having to average a chunk of them just to guess I had something reasonably close.
 


Nice work putting that together Andy!

Heard on the radio today (Bob Stauffer on Team1260) that the Oilers have no intention of signing any RFAs. Too bad really, considering the corner some of the GMs have backed into...

- Rod
 


Great stuff AG. Even if this isn't bang on I'd imagine it's pretty close.

So I guess we're waiting for Martin, Rafalski and Stuart to fall somewhere? I'd love to have Tallinder but you'd have to give up something really good to get him,.
 


In case you haven't seen it, this site is helpful for cap numbers:

http://www.geocities.com/rmccleary97/

Might make it easier if you are planning to do an update.
 


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