Monday, April 10, 2006
Nine days left
With Edmonton's loss to the worst team in the conference last night, they no longer control their own playoff destiny, strictly speaking.If they win the rest of their games, they'll finish with 97 points. If Vancouver wins the rest of their games, they'll also finish with 97 points, but they'll hold the first tiebreaker (most wins).
If this happens, but Vancouver only beats the Avalanche in OT, then Colorado can also finish with 97 points (W's vs. PHX, CGY; L vs. EDM; OTL vs. VAN). Colorado would also hold the Wins tiebreaker here.
Now, all that said, it's a pretty unlikely scenario. Vancouver is unlikely to win out; if they do, some will be in regulation, which cost ANA & SJ points; and CGY plays COL once and ANA twice, and isn't likely to get swept in those games. Basically, it's "good news" for Oil fans; if you win out, you're very very likely to make the playoffs.
The bad news is, if you don't win out, you're nearly completely reliant on still staying ahead of Vancouver, because there are few plausible scenarios that finish with COL, ANA, or SJS finishing 9th (roughly, one of them would have to lose the remainder of their games).
From my perspective, the worst thing about last night's Oil loss is that now, the scenarios under which they can finish 6th and lose a BoA playoff series are fewer and less likely. 7th or 8th is effectively now a best-case scenario for Edmonton, meaning that any CGY-EDM playoff series could only be in the conference finals, with Edmonton having already beaten DET and DAL.
Uh, whatever. Just miss the playoffs already, and get a head start on the off-season shakeup.
# posted by Matt @ 11:59 am 
Comments:
The Oilers must be really playing poorly if even the Calgary guy on this blog is disappointed.
DAMN OILERS.
The other problem facing the Oilers is that they can't hope for another team to blow up. Since all the teams the Oilers are chasing are all playing each other, they are going to divide up some points somehow.
For example, Vancouver and San Jose have a back to back this week and while they can't both win both games, they can't both lose, and they could decide to lose in OT or later. So, the Oilers will need to do better than split their next two games just to keep up.
Ya. Best case scenario is now for Canucks to suck more than Edmonton. As an added bonus, let's see Colorado slide too.
Yeah, JHuck has a point, but how long ago was that? Oil fans are starting to sound like Leaf fans, extolling the virtues of past glories.
This whole '5 Cups' thing is the sort of stuff that binds Leafs fans, Senators fans and Oilers fans together.
It's not quite ancient history, but it is getting there. I suggest that '5 Cups! 5 Cups! 5 Cups!' be retired the day the Oilers draft a kid who was not alive when the last Cup was won.
Which will be pretty soon now.
Actually, with the Flames, it's more like "Remember how we went to the Finals last season and committed the chokejob of the decade?
Nah, me neither."
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The Oilers must be really playing poorly if even the Calgary guy on this blog is disappointed.
DAMN OILERS.
The other problem facing the Oilers is that they can't hope for another team to blow up. Since all the teams the Oilers are chasing are all playing each other, they are going to divide up some points somehow.
For example, Vancouver and San Jose have a back to back this week and while they can't both win both games, they can't both lose, and they could decide to lose in OT or later. So, the Oilers will need to do better than split their next two games just to keep up.
# posted by 
: April 10, 2006 12:25 pm
: April 10, 2006 12:25 pm Ya. Best case scenario is now for Canucks to suck more than Edmonton. As an added bonus, let's see Colorado slide too.
# posted by : April 10, 2006 1:14 pm
: April 10, 2006 1:14 pm Yeah, JHuck has a point, but how long ago was that? Oil fans are starting to sound like Leaf fans, extolling the virtues of past glories.
# posted by : April 10, 2006 4:31 pm
: April 10, 2006 4:31 pm This whole '5 Cups' thing is the sort of stuff that binds Leafs fans, Senators fans and Oilers fans together.
It's not quite ancient history, but it is getting there. I suggest that '5 Cups! 5 Cups! 5 Cups!' be retired the day the Oilers draft a kid who was not alive when the last Cup was won.
Which will be pretty soon now.
# posted by : April 10, 2006 5:20 pm
: April 10, 2006 5:20 pm Actually, with the Flames, it's more like "Remember how we went to the Finals last season and committed the chokejob of the decade?
Nah, me neither."
# posted by : April 11, 2006 2:20 pm
: April 11, 2006 2:20 pm Post a Comment
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