Monday, April 10, 2006


Nine days left

With Edmonton's loss to the worst team in the conference last night, they no longer control their own playoff destiny, strictly speaking.

If they win the rest of their games, they'll finish with 97 points. If Vancouver wins the rest of their games, they'll also finish with 97 points, but they'll hold the first tiebreaker (most wins).

If this happens, but Vancouver only beats the Avalanche in OT, then Colorado can also finish with 97 points (W's vs. PHX, CGY; L vs. EDM; OTL vs. VAN). Colorado would also hold the Wins tiebreaker here.

Now, all that said, it's a pretty unlikely scenario. Vancouver is unlikely to win out; if they do, some will be in regulation, which cost ANA & SJ points; and CGY plays COL once and ANA twice, and isn't likely to get swept in those games. Basically, it's "good news" for Oil fans; if you win out, you're very very likely to make the playoffs.

The bad news is, if you don't win out, you're nearly completely reliant on still staying ahead of Vancouver, because there are few plausible scenarios that finish with COL, ANA, or SJS finishing 9th (roughly, one of them would have to lose the remainder of their games).

From my perspective, the worst thing about last night's Oil loss is that now, the scenarios under which they can finish 6th and lose a BoA playoff series are fewer and less likely. 7th or 8th is effectively now a best-case scenario for Edmonton, meaning that any CGY-EDM playoff series could only be in the conference finals, with Edmonton having already beaten DET and DAL.

Uh, whatever. Just miss the playoffs already, and get a head start on the off-season shakeup.


The Oilers must be really playing poorly if even the Calgary guy on this blog is disappointed.


The other problem facing the Oilers is that they can't hope for another team to blow up. Since all the teams the Oilers are chasing are all playing each other, they are going to divide up some points somehow.

For example, Vancouver and San Jose have a back to back this week and while they can't both win both games, they can't both lose, and they could decide to lose in OT or later. So, the Oilers will need to do better than split their next two games just to keep up.

Ya. Best case scenario is now for Canucks to suck more than Edmonton. As an added bonus, let's see Colorado slide too.



You've got to admit, JHuck has a point.

Yeah, JHuck has a point, but how long ago was that? Oil fans are starting to sound like Leaf fans, extolling the virtues of past glories.

"extolling the virtues of past glories."?

I had a friend was a big baseball player
Back in high school
He could throw that speedball by you
Make you look like a fool boy
Saw him the other night at this roadside bar
I was walking in, he was walking out
We went back inside sat down had a few drinks
But all he kept talking about was

Glory days well they’ll pass you by
Glory days in the wink of a young girl’s eye
Glory days, glory days

This whole '5 Cups' thing is the sort of stuff that binds Leafs fans, Senators fans and Oilers fans together.

It's not quite ancient history, but it is getting there. I suggest that '5 Cups! 5 Cups! 5 Cups!' be retired the day the Oilers draft a kid who was not alive when the last Cup was won.

Which will be pretty soon now.

This whole '5 Cups' thing is the sort of stuff that binds Leafs fans, Senators fans and Oilers fans together.

I know. With Flames and Canucks fans it's more "Remember that time we went to the Finals and lost? That was awesome!"

Actually, with the Flames, it's more like "Remember how we went to the Finals last season and committed the chokejob of the decade?

Nah, me neither."

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